Build-up
Tensions rise and great-power politics becomes a variable. The information environment is ambiguous; hybrid influence targets critical infrastructure; states raise their readiness.
Your team assesses developments and decides how to prepare.
Skip to content
Phase 01
Phase 02
Phase 03
Conflict simulation for strategic risk management
Game your way towards certainty.
A scenario, tailored for your company.
The scenario, rehearsed before it happens.
Mellenion runs conflict simulations for leadership teams in the Nordic–Baltic region.
Mellenion is a research and advisory consultancy on Nordic–Baltic strategic affairs and conflict risk. Our services are designed to reduce uncertainty for decision-makers.
Geoeconomic confrontation and state-based armed conflict rank as the two greatest global risks of 2025 — World Economic Forum
A conflict in the region touches all industries.
A conflict has an impact on society and the national economy, and disrupts the operating environment of companies. Friction and a lack of information create unique challenges for companies. A conflict disrupts logistics, infrastructure, telecommunications, payments and personnel.
Scenario 01
Russia – Europe
A conflict in Europe between Russia and NATO would cause significant impacts on business operations.
Scenario 02
The United States – Middle East
Wide-scale conflict in the Middle East involving the United States causes major disruptions in trade and supply chains.
Scenario 03
China – Taiwan
A war between China and Taiwan disrupts trade and business operations globally.
A conflict is a multifaceted crisis, influencing all aspects of a company’s operating environment.
The conflict simulation
A tailored decision-making exercise based on realistic Nordic–Baltic conflict scenarios.
A structured preparedness exercise which introduces friction and time pressure, and questions key assumptions related to your company’s operating environment. Wargaming is a tested method from the defence sphere; Mellenion adapts it to strategic risk management.
- For
- Executive teams, risk management and security leaders, key decision-makers
- Scenario
- Tailored to your company and operating environment
- Delivery
- Finland, Sweden and other countries on request
Three phases
Shock
Hostilities begin. Strikes reach military targets and, widely, critical infrastructure. Mobilisation calls key personnel into national service.
Your team makes immediate decisions on people, continuity and obligations.
Sustainment
The conflict is prolonged and society adapts to a new normal. State needs grow; resources go to the conflict and companies come under pressure.
Your team sustains operations and adapts to a new operating environment.
The team behind the wargames and simulations.
Partner & co-founder
Juuso Eskonmaa
Twelve years in the Finnish Defence Forces, four of them in strategic analysis and Eastern European security. Russian decision-making, security strategy and military affairs, with specialist Russian-language training. Works extensively with wargaming and scenario analysis, and has taken part in NATO Science and Technology Organization research on wargaming and analysis in the High North.
juuso.eskonmaa@mellenion.comPartner & co-founder
Andreas Turunen
International security, military strategy and Russian aerospace capabilities. Studied in the United Kingdom and at Sciences Po Paris before serving in the Finnish Defence Forces, including the Air Force, with several years in military analysis and wargaming. Doctoral researcher at the Swedish Defence University, on the Russian Aerospace Forces.
andreas.turunen@mellenion.comNorthern Defence Affairs
The research behind the scenarios.
Mellenion publishes Northern Defence Affairs, for decision-makers and informed readers seeking clarity on Russian strategic intentions and military capabilities.
25 Aug 2026President Niinistö Says Risk of Hybrid Escalation Between Europe and Russia Must Be MitigatedAndreas Turunen
10 Aug 2026Russia's Plan Is to Endure the New War and Outlast the WestJuuso Eskonmaa
29 Jul 2026The Russian Elite's Worldview Leaves Little Room for CompromiseJuuso Eskonmaa
25 Jul 2026Russia's Northern Air Defence Army Enters the Drone WarAndreas Turunen
17 Jul 2026Patrushev Outlines the Future Direction of the Russian NavyJuuso Eskonmaa
12 Jul 2026How Russia’s Aerospace Forces Describe Their Strike TacticsAndreas Turunen
1 Jun 2026Russian Vision of Unmanned Naval WarfareJuuso Eskonmaa
northerndefenceaffairs.com
© Mellenion Ltd
Direct